Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Laine shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Laine 38.2% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Laine 63.4%
Defensive zone
Mercer 54.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.0%
Result
Patrik Laine favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Mercer
Laine
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Laine
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
34.4% (288)
+4.7%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
36.1% (61)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
50.0% (4)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Laine has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laine shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Mercer shoots right. Laine is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Mercer
Laine
Home
40.0% (755)
37.2% (191)
Away
38.5% (792)
32.1% (162)
By Period
Mercer
Laine
P1
38.2%
37.1%
P2
39.2%
32.1%
P3
41.1%
34.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
36.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Laine
42.0%▲
38.0%
34.8%