Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.2% vs 38.3%). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Malone 41.6% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Malone 53.6%
Defensive zone
Mercer 54.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Mercer
Malone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Malone
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
34.6% (162)
+4.5%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
48.6% (74)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
31.3% (16)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malone shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Malone is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Mercer
Malone
Home
40.0% (755)
40.4% (136)
Away
38.5% (792)
35.9% (117)
By Period
Mercer
Malone
P1
38.2%
31.9%
P2
39.2%
43.5%
P3
41.1%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
31.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Malone
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.3%