Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 38.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 43.7% vs Kuznetsov 44.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 64.2%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 53.7%
Neutral zone
Malgin 54.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Malgin
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malgin
Kuznetsov
Last 5: Malgin 1-4 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
3
Malgin
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malgin
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (151)
43.5% (747)
-4.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
46.3% (41)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
26.7% (15)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Malgin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Malgin is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Malgin shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Malgin
Kuznetsov
Home
41.1% (90)
43.7% (414)
Away
38.4% (73)
42.9% (389)
By Period
Malgin
Kuznetsov
P1
42.6%
43.7%
P2
32.0%
44.1%
P3
42.1%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.9%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |