Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs McCann 43.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 64.3%
Defensive zone
Malgin 56.2%
Neutral zone
Malgin 64.5%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Malgin
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malgin
McCann
Last 7: Malgin 2-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Malgin
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
3
Malgin
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malgin
2
1
Malgin
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
43.1% (3,178)
-4.2%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
40.0% (260)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.2% (173)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Malgin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Malgin is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Malgin shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Malgin
McCann
Home
37.4% (273)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
40.9% (298)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Malgin
McCann
P1
37.2%
44.4%
P2
39.0%
41.7%
P3
40.7%
42.7%
OT
100.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jared McCann |