Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs Larsson 49.5% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 90.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Malgin 73.4%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Malgin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malgin
Larsson
Last 8: Malgin 2-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Malgin
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Malgin
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Malgin
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
50.5% (4,382)
-11.6%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
47.7% (153)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
43.8% (714)
+6.2%
On even strength, Larsson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Malgin is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Malgin shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Malgin
Larsson
Home
37.4% (273)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
40.9% (298)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Malgin
Larsson
P1
37.2%
51.6%
P2
39.0%
49.7%
P3
40.7%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |