Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 41.2% vs Zacha 42.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.8%
Defensive zone
Malgin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Malgin 51.5%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Malgin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malgin
Zacha
Last 6: Malgin 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Malgin
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Malgin
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (179)
40.9% (399)
-4.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
39.5% (43)
-19.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malgin is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Malgin shoots right. Zacha is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Malgin
Zacha
Home
33.0% (88)
41.4% (261)
Away
39.6% (96)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Malgin
Zacha
P1
34.2%
38.6%
P2
40.0%
44.4%
P3
34.0%
36.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
31.6%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
36.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |