Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 46.4% vs Beagle 56.7% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 83.0%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 72.5%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 66.7%
Result
Dennis Rasmussen favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Rasmussen
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rasmussen
Beagle
Last 6: Rasmussen 2-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Rasmussen
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Rasmussen
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (677)
57.5% (4,994)
-11.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
60.5% (119)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (62)
54.2% (1,554)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Rasmussen is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Rasmussen shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Beagle
Home
45.5% (347)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
46.3% (400)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Rasmussen
Beagle
P1
46.3%
57.4%
P2
45.6%
57.1%
P3
46.1%
56.2%
OT
0.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
45.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |