Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 45.7% vs Beagle 55.8% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 75.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 51.4%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 66.5%
Result
Dennis Rasmussen favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rasmussen
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rasmussen
Beagle
Last 6: Rasmussen 2-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Rasmussen
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Rasmussen
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (310)
56.8% (799)
-11.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.7% (17)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (57)
54.6% (291)
-14.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Rasmussen is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rasmussen shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Beagle
Home
43.4% (159)
57.6% (552)
Away
45.5% (211)
55.1% (555)
By Period
Rasmussen
Beagle
P1
47.2%
56.9%
P2
43.0%
59.0%
P3
44.0%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
44.6%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |