Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.7% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 92.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 61.7%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 67.0%
Result
Dennis Rasmussen favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Rasmussen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Rasmussen
Gaustad
Last 10: Rasmussen 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
3
1
Rasmussen
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Rasmussen
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Rasmussen
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (303)
56.2% (603)
-9.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
71.4% (21)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.3% (148)
-49.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Rasmussen is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Rasmussen shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Gaustad
Home
47.8% (136)
55.5% (366)
Away
46.2% (171)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Rasmussen
Gaustad
P1
51.0%
55.0%
P2
46.5%
56.9%
P3
43.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
39.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |