Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Grant 52.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 67.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 59.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 59.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Soderberg
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Soderberg
Grant
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
6
Soderberg
Grant
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
53.7% (2,864)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
61.7% (175)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
46.0% (922)
-5.2%
On power play, Grant has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Grant
Home
50.2% (2,703)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Soderberg
Grant
P1
47.4%
51.1%
P2
48.2%
51.5%
P3
48.1%
54.3%
OT
46.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Derek Grant |