Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 86.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 64.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 59.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Grant
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
16
(36 meetings)
20
16
Grant
Lindholm
Last 10: Grant 7-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
10
Grant
Lindholm
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
12
3
Grant
Lindholm
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
5
3
Grant
Lindholm
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.8% (8,505)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
59.3% (1,734)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
48.1% (1,610)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Home / Away
Grant
Lindholm
Home
54.3% (1,956)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Grant
Lindholm
P1
51.1%
54.1%
P2
51.5%
54.5%
P3
54.3%
53.0%
OT
35.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |