Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Staal 50.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 75.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 83.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Grant
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Grant
Staal
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Grant
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
7
2
Grant
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Grant
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
50.5% (10,347)
+3.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
53.5% (2,023)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.2% (781)
+1.8%
On power play, Grant has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Grant
Staal
Home
54.3% (1,956)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Grant
Staal
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
51.5%
51.1%
P3
54.3%
50.4%
OT
35.7%
55.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |