Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Staal 51.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 70.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Grant
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Grant
Staal
Last 7: Grant 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Grant
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Grant
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
50.6% (1,026)
+4.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.0% (211)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
35.0% (20)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Grant shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Grant
Staal
Home
53.6% (222)
52.4% (647)
Away
51.9% (293)
49.7% (610)
By Period
Grant
Staal
P1
48.5%
49.4%
P2
54.3%
53.9%
P3
55.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Eric Staal |