Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Thornton 54.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 91.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 60.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 70.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Grant
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Grant
Thornton
Last 10: Grant 7-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
7
1
Grant
Thornton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
7
3
Grant
Thornton
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
57.2% (1,387)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
56.7% (427)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Grant
Thornton
Home
54.3% (1,956)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Grant
Thornton
P1
51.1%
55.0%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
54.3%
54.4%
OT
35.7%
56.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |