Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Thornton 51.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 71.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Grant
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grant
Thornton
Last 5: Grant 3-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
52.7% (372)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.6% (63)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Grant shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Grant
Thornton
Home
56.1% (344)
51.2% (250)
Away
49.0% (253)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Grant
Thornton
P1
49.4%
56.1%
P2
56.1%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |