Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Thornton 49.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 64.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 89.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.1%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Grant
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Grant
Thornton
Last 10: Grant 7-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
48.9% (583)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
52.5% (59)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
58.3% (12)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Grant is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Grant shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Grant
Thornton
Home
54.8% (334)
51.6% (341)
Away
48.6% (360)
47.0% (313)
By Period
Grant
Thornton
P1
54.7%
53.9%
P2
46.1%
46.9%
P3
54.2%
47.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |