Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Kempe 40.7% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 68.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 59.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 65.8%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Grant
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Grant
Kempe
Last 8: Grant 3-5 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
4
Grant
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
38.7% (380)
+15.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
33.3% (3)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
31.3% (16)
+14.7%
On power play, Grant has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Grant
Kempe
Home
54.3% (1,956)
40.1% (177)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Grant
Kempe
P1
51.1%
34.7%
P2
51.5%
40.4%
P3
54.3%
38.8%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |