Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Kempe 41.0% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 57.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 58.8%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Grant
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Grant
Kempe
Last 8: Grant 3-5 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
4
Grant
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
38.5% (312)
+16.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
33.3% (3)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
35.7% (14)
+8.8%
On power play, Grant has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Grant shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Grant
Kempe
Home
53.6% (222)
38.8% (160)
Away
51.9% (293)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Grant
Kempe
P1
48.5%
35.9%
P2
54.3%
39.0%
P3
55.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |