Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.4%). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Lapierre 51.3% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Grant 54.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 55.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Grant
Lapierre
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
52.9% (2,085)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
53.1% (32)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
43.1% (415)
+2.9%
On power play, Grant has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Grant
Lapierre
Home
54.3% (1,956)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Grant
Lapierre
P1
51.1%
52.5%
P2
51.5%
50.7%
P3
54.3%
51.1%
OT
35.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%