Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Gregor 40.3% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 54.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 95.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 85.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Grant
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Grant
Gregor
Last 5: Grant 4-1 Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Gregor
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Gregor
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gregor
0
1
Grant
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
36.7% (196)
+17.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
23.1% (13)
+38.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
0.0% (1)
+46.0%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Grant
Gregor
Home
54.3% (1,956)
35.4% (113)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Grant
Gregor
P1
51.1%
36.9%
P2
51.5%
28.4%
P3
54.3%
44.4%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Noah Gregor |