Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Gregor 41.4% (+22.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 57.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 93.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 78.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Grant
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Grant
Gregor
Last 5: Grant 4-1 Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Gregor
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Gregor
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gregor
0
1
Grant
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
30.3% (66)
+24.2%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
0.0% (3)
+42.9%
On power play, Grant has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Gregor is 24.5% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Grant
Gregor
Home
51.5% (266)
30.3% (33)
Away
50.7% (300)
27.8% (36)
By Period
Grant
Gregor
P1
48.3%
11.1%
P2
52.2%
27.3%
P3
52.8%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
29.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Noah Gregor |