Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Byfield 44.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 65.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 70.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 50.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Grant
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Grant
Byfield
Last 8: Grant 4-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Grant
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Byfield
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Grant
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
45.3% (2,107)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
47.3% (112)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
37.3% (225)
+8.7%
On power play, Grant has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Home / Away
Grant
Byfield
Home
54.3% (1,956)
45.2% (1,163)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
44.1% (1,281)
By Period
Grant
Byfield
P1
51.1%
45.0%
P2
51.5%
43.7%
P3
54.3%
45.5%
OT
35.7%
41.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |