Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Byfield 45.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 68.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 75.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 55.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Grant
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Grant
Byfield
Last 8: Grant 4-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Grant
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Byfield
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Grant
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
37.7% (61)
+16.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
75.0% (4)
-33.4%
On power play, Grant has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Byfield is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Grant
Byfield
Home
51.5% (266)
55.6% (18)
Away
50.7% (300)
33.3% (48)
By Period
Grant
Byfield
P1
48.3%
36.4%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
27.8%
Final 5 min
60.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |