Derek Grant vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Grant 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
7
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
44.9% (8,714)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
50.3% (829)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
37.8% (875)
+8.2%
On power play, Grant has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.3% (1,956)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.1%
45.1%
P2
51.5%
43.8%
P3
54.3%
45.2%
OT
35.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Derek Grant |