Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 50.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Grant
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Grant
Kuraly
Last 10: Grant 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Grant
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Grant
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Grant
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
51.5% (5,141)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
56.0% (100)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.2% (1,086)
+1.8%
On power play, Grant has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Grant
Kuraly
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Grant
Kuraly
P1
51.1%
51.1%
P2
51.5%
49.9%
P3
54.3%
50.0%
OT
35.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |