Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 82.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 67.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Grant
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Grant
Bozak
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Grant
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
11
1
Grant
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Grant
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
55.2% (1,990)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.0%
On power play, Grant has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Grant
Bozak
Home
54.3% (1,956)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Grant
Bozak
P1
51.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
54.3%
54.5%
OT
35.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |