Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 51.8%). Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Trocheck 51.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 77.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 51.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 57.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Grant
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Grant
Trocheck
Last 8: Grant 6-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Grant
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
50.8% (783)
+3.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
60.0% (95)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
51.8% (83)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Grant shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Grant
Trocheck
Home
53.6% (222)
54.9% (506)
Away
51.9% (293)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Grant
Trocheck
P1
48.5%
52.3%
P2
54.3%
50.8%
P3
55.0%
52.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |