Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs MacKenzie 52.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 77.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 59.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 66.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Jenner
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jenner
MacKenzie
Last 9: Jenner 3-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Jenner
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Jenner
MacKenzie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
55.1% (737)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
36.8% (19)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
48.9% (266)
-0.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Jenner is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jenner shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Jenner
MacKenzie
Home
55.8% (138)
54.9% (506)
Away
44.0% (168)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Jenner
MacKenzie
P1
53.8%
54.5%
P2
47.2%
55.6%
P3
48.0%
48.2%
OT
44.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |