Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 53.1%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs MacKenzie 52.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 55.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 58.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 51.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Last 9: Cizikas 8-1 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
MacKenzie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
55.1% (737)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
36.8% (19)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
48.9% (266)
+0.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Home
56.5% (446)
54.9% (506)
Away
47.4% (409)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Cizikas
MacKenzie
P1
57.0%
54.5%
P2
51.0%
55.6%
P3
48.7%
48.2%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |