Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.9% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 59.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 87.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 70.5%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Giroux
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Giroux
MacKenzie
Last 5: Giroux 1-4 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
4
Giroux
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (675)
55.7% (438)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.1% (316)
80.0% (5)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (97)
41.4% (162)
+9.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Giroux is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Giroux shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Giroux
MacKenzie
Home
61.1% (529)
51.3% (312)
Away
56.4% (559)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Giroux
MacKenzie
P1
56.3%
50.5%
P2
62.6%
48.8%
P3
56.7%
57.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.6%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |