Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs MacKenzie 53.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 72.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 70.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.3%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Emmerton
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Emmerton
MacKenzie
Last 8: Emmerton 4-4 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Emmerton
MacKenzie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Emmerton
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
55.1% (370)
-6.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
49.0% (49)
+8.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Emmerton
MacKenzie
Home
49.7% (183)
56.1% (228)
Away
46.2% (130)
52.7% (201)
By Period
Emmerton
MacKenzie
P1
45.5%
53.4%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
49.4%
53.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |