Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs MacKenzie 54.3% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 52.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 62.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Lazar
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lazar
MacKenzie
Last 10: Lazar 3-7 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Lazar
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
3
Lazar
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
55.8% (523)
-11.5%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
52.4% (21)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
52.9% (257)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKenzie
Home
45.0% (202)
54.4% (463)
Away
42.3% (182)
55.3% (338)
By Period
Lazar
MacKenzie
P1
45.5%
54.2%
P2
43.0%
54.0%
P3
42.1%
56.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |