Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bolland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.6% vs MacKenzie 51.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 85.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 51.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 77.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Bolland
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Bolland
MacKenzie
Last 8: Bolland 5-3 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Bolland
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
1
Bolland
MacKenzie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (781)
51.8% (384)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
50.0% (24)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (141)
52.5% (61)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Bolland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (772).
Bolland shoots right. MacKenzie is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Bolland
MacKenzie
Home
45.9% (540)
51.7% (232)
Away
44.2% (468)
52.3% (241)
By Period
Bolland
MacKenzie
P1
45.0%
47.9%
P2
44.7%
51.8%
P3
46.5%
55.4%
OT
23.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |