Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Ryan 55.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 54.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 74.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 59.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
MacKenzie
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
MacKenzie
Ryan
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
MacKenzie
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
3
MacKenzie
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
56.6% (4,102)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
53.2% (342)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
47.8% (649)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Ryan
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
MacKenzie
Ryan
P1
51.9%
55.1%
P2
53.0%
54.7%
P3
54.0%
56.0%
OT
65.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |