Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Ryan 55.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 61.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 83.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 61.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
MacKenzie
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Ryan
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
MacKenzie
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Ryan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
MacKenzie
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
56.5% (816)
-0.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.2% (105)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
63.2% (19)
-21.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Ryan
Home
51.3% (312)
56.7% (466)
Away
52.9% (293)
56.3% (474)
By Period
MacKenzie
Ryan
P1
50.5%
55.4%
P2
48.8%
58.1%
P3
57.4%
55.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |