Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Moore 54.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 82.0%
Defensive zone
Moore 51.6%
Neutral zone
Moore 73.5%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
MacKenzie
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Moore
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Moore
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Moore
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
56.5% (522)
-4.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
57.9% (19)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
45.1% (113)
-3.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Moore is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Moore
Home
52.7% (404)
55.3% (320)
Away
47.0% (368)
53.9% (334)
By Period
MacKenzie
Moore
P1
50.0%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
56.7%
P3
49.4%
54.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |