Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Belanger 54.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 73.7%
Defensive zone
Belanger 56.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 59.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
MacKenzie
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacKenzie
Belanger
Last 8: MacKenzie 3-5 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Belanger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
3
MacKenzie
Belanger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
1
MacKenzie
Belanger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
56.5% (1,019)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
62.0% (108)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
42.1% (164)
+10.4%
On power play, Belanger has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
MacKenzie shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Belanger
Home
51.7% (232)
58.2% (672)
Away
52.3% (241)
52.2% (625)
By Period
MacKenzie
Belanger
P1
47.9%
54.4%
P2
51.8%
54.6%
P3
55.4%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |