Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.1%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Staal 49.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 90.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 64.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
MacKenzie
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
MacKenzie
Staal
Last 6: MacKenzie 6-0 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
48.9% (958)
+3.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
51.7% (145)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
47.9% (71)
-6.2%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Staal
Home
52.7% (404)
49.6% (550)
Away
47.0% (368)
48.7% (624)
By Period
MacKenzie
Staal
P1
50.0%
48.9%
P2
50.0%
47.5%
P3
49.4%
51.6%
OT
80.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |