Derek MacKenzie vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Kuznetsov 45.3% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 85.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 64.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
Last 8: MacKenzie 3-5 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
4
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
43.9% (613)
+11.2%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
50.7% (67)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
100.0% (1)
-51.1%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
Home
54.9% (506)
43.3% (356)
Away
51.4% (516)
46.2% (325)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kuznetsov
P1
54.5%
45.8%
P2
55.6%
47.3%
P3
48.2%
41.6%
OT
70.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |