Derek MacKenzie vs Frans Nielsen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 50.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 64.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 59.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
6
MacKenzie
Nielsen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
2
MacKenzie
Nielsen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
49.3% (7,608)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
54.7% (594)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
41.7% (1,420)
+5.0%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Home
54.0% (2,527)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
MacKenzie
Nielsen
P1
51.9%
49.7%
P2
53.0%
47.6%
P3
54.0%
48.2%
OT
65.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |