Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Beagle 56.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 57.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 73.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 50.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
MacKenzie
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
MacKenzie
Beagle
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
3
MacKenzie
Beagle
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
MacKenzie
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
8
5
MacKenzie
Beagle
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
57.5% (4,994)
-2.6%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
60.5% (119)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
54.2% (1,554)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Beagle
Home
54.0% (2,527)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
MacKenzie
Beagle
P1
51.9%
57.4%
P2
53.0%
57.1%
P3
54.0%
56.2%
OT
65.7%
41.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |