Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Beagle 55.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 66.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 76.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 69.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
MacKenzie
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Beagle
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
MacKenzie
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
0
MacKenzie
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
56.8% (799)
-4.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
64.7% (17)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
54.6% (291)
-12.9%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
MacKenzie shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Beagle
Home
52.7% (404)
57.6% (552)
Away
47.0% (368)
55.1% (555)
By Period
MacKenzie
Beagle
P1
50.0%
56.9%
P2
50.0%
59.0%
P3
49.4%
54.0%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |