Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.6%). Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs McClement 51.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 84.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 63.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 57.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
MacKenzie
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
McClement
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
52.4% (802)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
73.9% (23)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
47.1% (314)
+5.4%
On power play, McClement has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
MacKenzie shoots left. McClement is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
McClement
Home
51.7% (232)
57.6% (519)
Away
52.3% (241)
46.8% (633)
By Period
MacKenzie
McClement
P1
47.9%
55.3%
P2
51.8%
51.7%
P3
55.4%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jay McClement |