Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs O'Brien 47.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 79.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 91.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 76.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
O'Brien
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
O'Brien
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
O'Brien
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
48.8% (451)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
62.5% (8)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
41.8% (141)
+4.9%
On power play, O'Brien has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. O'Brien is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Home
54.0% (2,527)
47.1% (274)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
47.3% (330)
By Period
MacKenzie
O'Brien
P1
51.9%
47.2%
P2
53.0%
49.8%
P3
54.0%
43.6%
OT
65.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |