Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Slater on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Slater 58.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 80.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 77.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 76.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
MacKenzie
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
MacKenzie
Slater
Last 8: MacKenzie 0-8 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
MacKenzie
Slater
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
3
MacKenzie
Slater
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
0
3
MacKenzie
Slater
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
64.4% (450)
-9.3%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
75.0% (4)
-38.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
52.2% (297)
-3.3%
On power play, Slater has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Slater is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Slater
Home
54.9% (506)
64.0% (411)
Away
51.4% (516)
54.4% (340)
By Period
MacKenzie
Slater
P1
54.5%
59.8%
P2
55.6%
58.0%
P3
48.2%
61.4%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jim Slater |