Derek MacKenzie vs Joe Thornton

2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKenzie 54.3% vs Thornton 52.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Thornton 60.3%
Defensive zone MacKenzie 88.0%
Neutral zone MacKenzie 57.6%
Result Derek MacKenzie favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
MacKenzie Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
MacKenzie Thornton
Last 9: MacKenzie 6-3 Thornton

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie Thornton
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKenzie
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
51.8% (577)
+4.0%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
57.7% (168)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
37.5% (8)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +15.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thornton shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
MacKenzie shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Thornton
Home
54.4% (463)
53.0% (379)
Away
55.3% (338)
52.9% (374)
By Period
MacKenzie
Thornton
P1
54.2%
53.3%
P2
54.0%
50.7%
P3
56.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%
53.5%
54.8%
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
53.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 18, 2016 3 00:00 Neutral Derek MacKenzie
Feb 18, 2016 2 18:45 Defensive Derek MacKenzie
Feb 18, 2016 2 09:44 Defensive Derek MacKenzie
Nov 5, 2015 3 05:32 Defensive Derek MacKenzie
Nov 5, 2015 3 04:21 Defensive Joe Thornton
Nov 5, 2015 3 03:56 Defensive Derek MacKenzie
Nov 5, 2015 2 10:47 Offensive Joe Thornton
Nov 5, 2015 1 14:57 Offensive Derek MacKenzie
Nov 5, 2015 1 02:48 Neutral Joe Thornton