Derek MacKenzie vs Johan Larsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Larsson 49.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 65.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 70.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
MacKenzie
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
MacKenzie
Larsson
Last 10: MacKenzie 3-7 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
MacKenzie
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
MacKenzie
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.5% (4,382)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
47.7% (153)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
43.8% (714)
+2.9%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Larsson
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
MacKenzie
Larsson
P1
51.9%
51.6%
P2
53.0%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
47.2%
OT
65.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |