Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Lehtera 49.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 88.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 66.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 66.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
MacKenzie
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
MacKenzie
Lehtera
Last 8: MacKenzie 1-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
5
MacKenzie
Lehtera
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
2
MacKenzie
Lehtera
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
50.0% (728)
+2.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (82)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
18.2% (22)
+23.5%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Lehtera
Home
52.7% (404)
50.6% (443)
Away
47.0% (368)
47.6% (389)
By Period
MacKenzie
Lehtera
P1
50.0%
52.6%
P2
50.0%
48.6%
P3
49.4%
46.3%
OT
80.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |