Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Jooris 49.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 69.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 52.8%
Neutral zone
Jooris 58.7%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
MacKenzie
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
MacKenzie
Jooris
Last 6: MacKenzie 1-5 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
MacKenzie
Jooris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
3
MacKenzie
Jooris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
50.3% (390)
+2.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
75.0% (4)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
41.1% (56)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
MacKenzie shoots left. Jooris is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Jooris
Home
52.7% (404)
50.0% (218)
Away
47.0% (368)
48.7% (232)
By Period
MacKenzie
Jooris
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
42.1%
P3
49.4%
51.9%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |