Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Khaira 46.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 56.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 74.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 64.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
MacKenzie
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKenzie
Khaira
Last 5: MacKenzie 3-2 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Khaira
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Khaira
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
45.5% (325)
+10.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
36.4% (11)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
46.8% (47)
-5.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
MacKenzie shoots left. Khaira is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Khaira
Home
51.3% (312)
45.5% (198)
Away
52.9% (293)
45.4% (185)
By Period
MacKenzie
Khaira
P1
50.5%
45.9%
P2
48.8%
41.3%
P3
57.4%
48.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |